Decentralized prediction markets with multi-oracle resolution. No middleman. No kill switch. Built on Polygon.
Polymarket and Kalshi control what markets you can trade, how outcomes resolve, and when to shut you out.
Centralized prediction platforms can delist any market at will, freeze your positions, or override outcomes based on their terms of service. When regulators knock, your markets disappear overnight. You're not trading on an open protocol — you're using a product that can be switched off at any time.
Everything you need to create, trade, and resolve markets — fully on-chain.
Sports, politics, crypto, science, entertainment — if you can phrase it as a yes/no question, it can be a market. No approval process.
Chainlink, UMA, and custom oracles reach consensus before any outcome is settled. No single point of failure, no manipulation.
Once oracles agree on an outcome, settlement is final and irreversible. Smart contracts enforce payouts automatically.
Earn rewards for providing liquidity to markets. Deeper books mean better prices for everyone trading.
Token holders vote on disputed outcomes. If oracles disagree, the community decides — not a centralized company.
YES and NO positions are ERC-20 tokens you can trade, transfer, or use elsewhere. Your positions are fully composable.
No accounts. No KYC. Just connect your wallet and start.
Define a yes/no question, set a resolution date, and choose your oracles. Market goes live instantly.
Buy conditional tokens reflecting your prediction. Prices shift with supply and demand.
Oracles report outcomes independently. Consensus is required before settlement proceeds.
Correct token holders redeem automatically. Payouts are enforced by smart contract — no appeals.
Not all prediction markets are created equal.
| Feature | Forekast | Polymarket | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Decentralized | ✓ Fully on-chain | ✗ Centralized backend | ✗ Centralized |
| Create Any Market | ✓ Permissionless | △ Curated list | ✗ CFTC approved only |
| Oracle Resolution | ✓ Multi-oracle consensus | △ Single resolution source | ✗ Internal settlement |
| Kill Switch | ✓ None — immutable | ✗ Can delist markets | ✗ Can freeze accounts |
| Gas Cost | <$0.02 on Polygon | △ Off-chain (custodial) | ✗ Traditional fees |
| Composable Tokens | ✓ ERC-20 conditional | ✗ Not transferable | ✗ Not transferable |
| Community Governance | ✓ Token-holder voting | ✗ Corporate decisions | ✗ Corporate decisions |
The core principles that make Forekast different.
Smart contracts on Polygon can't be paused, censored, or shut off. Once deployed, markets run autonomously forever.
Multiple independent oracles must agree before any outcome is resolved. No single oracle can manipulate results.
Token holders vote on disputes, protocol upgrades, and fee changes. Forekast is governed by its users, not a boardroom.
When a market's resolution date arrives, multiple independent oracles (Chainlink, UMA, or custom sources) report the outcome. A consensus mechanism requires agreement among oracles before the smart contract finalizes the result. Only then are payouts triggered automatically.
If oracles report conflicting outcomes, the dispute resolution process activates. Token holders vote to determine the correct outcome. This ensures that no single oracle can unilaterally control market resolution — the community has the final say.
Yes. Forekast is permissionless — anyone can create a market on any topic as long as it can be phrased as a verifiable yes/no question with a clear resolution date and oracle source. Sports, politics, crypto prices, scientific outcomes, entertainment — anything goes.
Forekast is currently deployed on Polygon mainnet, offering gas costs under $0.02 per trade. The protocol is designed to be multi-chain compatible, with additional deployments planned as the ecosystem grows.
Trade prediction markets that can't be censored, paused, or shut down.
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